Australian · ASX-first macro desk

Investing in property, crypto, stocks or ETFs?This is your desk.

Every figure dated, every source named, no predictions. One desk covering the lot, refreshed nightly, live by 6am Perth.

35catalogued data feeds
51scheduled data widgets
98yof S&P 500 history
S&P 500^GSPC · average calendar-year path98 years
-8%-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%18%20%22%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Jan
+1.2%
62%
Feb
−0.1%
52%
Mar
+0.5%
61%
Apr
+1.3%
65%
May
+0.1%
60%
Jun
+0.8%
57%
Jul
+1.7%
61%
Aug
+0.7%
58%
Sep
−1.1%
45%
Oct
+0.6%
59%
Nov
+1.0%
62%
Dec
+1.3%
72%
Yahoo Finance ^GSPC daily, 19282025. Price return, ex-dividends. Historical averages, not a prediction.You are here
35catalogued data feeds51scheduled data widgets26fast-lane widgets · every 4 hours5:30am AWSTnightly refresh6markets of seasonality98yof S&P 500 history10My Money tools (AU)5/weeklive AI research searchesA$35/mocancel anytime

Straight off the desk.

Five snips from one real session on the live product. Nothing staged, nothing mocked up.

Research module: BTC price against the power-law fair value curve on a log scale, with shaded sell and buy zones and price history from 2016 onward.
Research · BTC price vs power-law fair value
Crypto Market section header with live stat tiles for total market cap, 24 hour volume, BTC dominance, ETH dominance and active coins, above the big three coins table.
Crypto Market · live market structure
Housing Market module: the AU land cycle clock dial at year 17, labelled as curated data as of April 2026.
Housing Market · AU land cycle clock
Sector Rotation map: sectors plotted as coloured bubbles across the improving and leading quadrants by relative strength and momentum.
Sector Rotation · rotation map
Seasonality section: how each market tends to move through the year, with the you-are-here strip for 7 August and calendar tendencies.
Seasonality · calendar tendencies

Real product · recorded 7 Aug 2026 · unedited screenshots

Built to be checked, not believed.

Most dashboards style everything to look live. This one labels what each number actually is, and the labels are enforced in code. Every quote below is lifted straight from the product source.

LIVELIVE means fetched, this session, from a real source

A cyan LIVE chip appears only on figures pulled from a real external source. Numbers derived by the AI carry a separate amber label; the two are never allowed to blur. Meaning is carried by the visible word, not just the colour.

components/rotation/data-badges.tsx// in the product source:
LiveChip: "data fetched from a real source". AiEstimateChip: "derived by the AI… Not a cited institutional figure."

Real fallbacksFallbacks are real, dated figures, never invented

When a live scrape fails, the dashboard shows the last real known value with its date. The ASX 200 P/E seed is a real dated Market Index reading; the rents fallback is the last real SQM figure.

lib/rotation/asx200-pe.ts · components/market/freshness-chip.tsx// in the product source:
"The fallback is NEVER fabricated." · "the card always shows the REAL last-known number (never a fake)."

Stale says soStaleness is measured, shown, and alarmed on

Every snapshot's age is checked against its section's expected cadence. Fresh, stale or unknown, and unknown renders a plain dash rather than implying confidence. A daily health job emails the operator if any feed silently freezes.

components/snapshots/freshness-badge.tsx · lib/alerts/staleness.ts// in the product source:
"unknown — no snapshot / unparseable timestamp → render '—', NEVER imply freshness we can't measure."

Try it. This is the live module.

The same seasonality instrument subscribers use, running on the real shipped data.

Seasonality
How each market tends to move through the year
LIVE33 years
33-yr · 19932025 · strongest Apr +1.99% · weakest Sep −0.88%
-1%0%1%2%3%4%5%6%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Today's marker is a weekday-count calendar approximation.

Jan
+0.61%
61%
Feb
+0.29%
58%
Mar
−0.26%
52%
Apr
+1.99%
73%
May
−0.46%
58%
Jun
−0.05%
52%
Jul
+1.70%
73%
Aug
+0.21%
61%
Sep
−0.88%
42%
Oct
+0.89%
64%
Nov
+0.43%
64%
Dec
+1.62%
73%

Average cumulative return by trading day — averaging 19932025 (33 years)

Yahoo Finance ^AXJO (daily) · 19932025 (33 yrs) · price return, ex-dividends

Monthly stats, ASX 200, 19932025 (33 years)
MonthAverage returnWin rateYears
Jan+0.61%61%33
Feb+0.29%58%33
Mar−0.26%52%33
Apr+1.99%73%33
May−0.46%58%33
Jun−0.05%52%33
Jul+1.70%73%33
Aug+0.21%61%33
Sep−0.88%42%33
Oct+0.89%64%33
Nov+0.43%64%33
Dec+1.62%73%33
Historical averages from Yahoo Finance daily history · not a prediction · not financial advice.
01

Every valuation lens, one screen

Shiller CAPE, PEG, the Buffett indicator and the ASX anchor, each figure dated to the day it was captured.

Market Valuation
S&P 500 valuation lenses + recession risk dashboard
LIVE
Shiller CAPE
52545
40.73
Extreme by historical standards — near 2000 dot-com peak levels
S&P 500 price against 10 year average real earnings.
as of 10 Sep 2026
S&P 500 PEG
01.53
1.54
Trailing P/E 25.9 divided by 16.9% reported TTM earnings growth.
P/E 10 Sep 2026 · growth 30 Sep 2025
Buffett Indicator
0%125%250%
214%
Extreme overvaluation
Total US equity value relative to GDP, from FRED corporate equities data.
as of 1 Jan 2026
ASX P/E anchor
102030avg 16
20.8
All Ords trailing P/E against its long-run average of 16.
as of 1 Jun 2026 · Market Index estimate
Trend reversal candidates · ETFs flipping bullish
4 scanned · 4 qualifying
4 qualifying candidates in the latest scan. The full list is shown in-product.Scanned 11 Sep 2026 · 12:00 pm Perth
Live module · data captured 11 Sep 2026 · multpl.com, FRED, Market Index
02

The housing cycle, state by state

An AI-composed daily read of Australian housing: cycle position, state momentum and mortgage stress.

  • Six states ranked on year on year price momentum
  • Rebuilt each morning by the desk's AI scan, and labelled as AI on the panel
Housing MarketCycle position, state momentum, mortgage stressLIVEAI
Cycle position
0%25%50%75%100%EarlyMidLateDownturn
Peak88%

AIPerth leading national gains but momentum clearly stalling with softening conditions emerging

State momentum · YoY change
0+5+10+15+20%WANSWVICQLDSATAS+19.2%+9.9%+9.9%+9.9%+9.9%+9.9%
Mortgage arrears1.68%+0.04pp rising
SentimentCautiously optimisticscore 58

AI Top risk: “Affordability ceilings and rising arrears with cash rate still at 4.35% constraining buyer capacity

Live module · data captured 11 Sep 2026 · snapshots.housing AI scan
Crypto MarketMarket cap, dominance, fear & greed, ETF inflows, BTC relative strengthLIVE
Total market cap$2.29T+0.68% 24h
BTC dominance56.7%of total crypto market cap
Crypto Fear & Greed25 Extreme FearYesterday 27 · last week 28

ETF flow figures not in this capture.

Which top-50 coins are beating Bitcoin right nowRelative strength vs BTC · BTC 30d: +2.3%
BTC+2.3% 30dUNI+25.1%ONDO+10.8%ZEC+10.1%XMR+9.9%SHIB+8.6%CC-27.1%HYPE-23.3%XLM-20.0%GRAM-19.9%RAIN-18.9%scale: 30d return vs BTC, %+30+20+100 = BTC pace-10-20-30
Stronger than BTCWeaker than BTCDistance from the core reads on the labelled rings. Bigger node = bigger gap. Drift is decorative, angle carries no data.
▲ Stronger than BTC
Coinvs BTCRS bar
UNIUniswap+25.1%
ONDOOndo+10.8%
ZECZcash+10.1%
XMRMonero+9.9%
SHIBShiba Inu+8.6%
▼ Weaker than BTC
Coinvs BTCRS bar
CCCanton-27.1%
HYPEHyperliquid-23.3%
XLMStellar-20.0%
GRAMGram-19.9%
RAINRain-18.9%
Live module · data captured 6 Aug 2026 · CoinGecko, Alternative.me
03

The coins outrunning Bitcoin

Market cap, dominance and fear and greed, plus a live leaderboard of coins beating Bitcoin over 30 days.

  • Track the tokens beating BTC without opening ten tabs. The leaderboard ranks every top-50 coin against Bitcoin over 30 days, stablecoins stripped out.
  • No AI in the loop on this module. Every number is straight market data, refreshed on schedule.
  • Crypto fear and greed logged daily beside the tape, so you can watch the mood turn.
04

The US moves, the ASX lags

See which US sector moves have already reached the ASX and which are still an open gap.

Sector RotationUS leading sectors, ASX lag map, top tradeLIVEAI

Top 3 US sectors with the strongest signal

AIas-of month April 2026
#1
Energy
XLE / XOP / OIH
ACCELERATION
4-wk RS92
26-wk RS68
RS gap+24
#2
Gold Miners
GDX / GDXJ / NEM
ACCELERATION
4-wk RS85
26-wk RS62
RS gap+23
#3
Materials / Copper
XLB / FCX / BHP
WATCH: PAUSING
4-wk RS74
26-wk RS68
RS gap+6

Which Australian sectors have caught up to the US, and which haven’t

AI
US sector leadASX counterpart
EnergyWDS.AX / STO.AXARRIVED
corr 0.88 · lag 1-3 days
Gold MinersNST.AX / EVN.AXARRIVED
corr 0.82 · lag 2-5 days
Materials/CopperBHP.AX / RIO.AX / 29M.AXPARTIAL
corr 0.79 · lag 3-7 days
IndustrialsWOR.AX / NXT.AX / DOW.AXNOT YET
corr 0.61 · lag 2-4 weeks
FinancialsANZ.AX / WBC.AX / NAB.AXPARTIAL
corr 0.72 · lag 1-2 weeks
Consumer StaplesWOW.AX / COL.AXFORMING
corr 0.55 · lag 1-3 weeks
TechnologyWTC.AX / XRO.AX / TNE.AXARRIVED
corr 0.78 · lag 1-3 days
Consumer Discr.JBH.AX / HVN.AX / WES.AXARRIVED
corr 0.67 · lag 1-2 weeks

ARRIVED = US move already priced in. PARTIAL = half-way. FORMING = the ASX response is starting to form. NOT YET = US has moved, ASX hasn’t. That is the open gap.

Each node sits at that row’s US to ASX correlation on the 0 to 1 scale above. Dashed lines show the US signal travelling to its ASX counterpart.

Live module · data captured 11 Sep 2026 · snapshots.rotation AI scan
05

What moved markets this week

Scored wire stories, emerging tickers and an AI weekly brief. The headlines moving markets without the hours.

News & SignalTop stories and emerging tickers, last 7 daysLIVEAI
AIWeek theme11 Sep 2026

Geopolitical oil shock meets hawkish RBA pivot while healthcare reprices on earnings headwinds

Top scored stories · first 2 of 3
Trading EconomicsSep 10

Oil surges past $100/bbl on Iran-US tensions, ASX energy counters Middle East volatility

0510score 9
WDSSTOBOE
Trading EconomicsSep 10

RBA Deputy signals September hike debate as inflation risks persist

0510score 8
Live module · data captured 11 Sep 2026 · news wire
06

Watch what big money does

Fund manager exposure, retail sentiment, fear and greed, and the latest insider filings. Primary sources, every input dated.

The desk pulls the NAAIM manager survey, the AAII retail survey, CNN's Fear and Greed index and the latest SEC Form 4 insider filings straight from the primary source. Each reading lands with its own survey or filing date, so you can see when managers lean one way and the herd leans the other. No LLM in the loop on this module.

  • Primary surveys: NAAIM manager exposure and AAII retail bull-bear.
  • CNN Fear and Greed captured with its exact as-of time.
  • Insider buy and sell tape read from real SEC Form 4 filings.
  • The washout dial is computed in-product from these dated inputs.
Positioning & Sentiment
What big money is doing · market sentiment (how the herd is feeling) · insider tx · F&G · NAAIM · breadth
LIVE
0255075100washoutneutraleuphoriaNAAIMAAIIF&GForm 4
Washout dial · computed in-product from these inputs
NAAIM Exposure IndexActive manager equity exposure · 0 to 200 scale
94.49▾ from 95.52 prior week
survey 19 Aug 2026
AAII Bull-Bear SpreadRetail survey · long-run avg spread +6.5
+2.1bulls 39.7% vs bears 37.6%
week to 3 Sep 2026
CNN Fear & GreedUS market mood gauge · 0 to 100
33Fear
as of 11 Sep 2026
Insider TransactionsSEC Form 4 · latest 20 filings
19 sells / 1 buymixed buying and selling in the latest batch
trades 8 to 10 Sep 2026
Live module · data captured 11 Sep 2026 · NAAIM, AAII, CNN Fear & Greed, SEC Form 4 (financialmodelingprep)
07

Tightness scored, tickers attached

The desk scores supply and demand tightness across the commodity universe, ranks the squeeze, and maps it straight to ASX names.

Five structural filters sit behind every score: capex starvation, demand inflection, supply concentration, lead time and substitution. Deficit timing and narrative saturation ride alongside, so tightness is visible before the crowd names it.

Commodity Supply/Demand
Tightest right now, ASX exposure, best setup
LIVEAI
AIStructural scan, universe as of September 2026, quoted verbatim (… marks an excerpt)

Rings fill to the composite score, bars to the supply and demand subscores, both on labelled 0 to 10 scales.

  1. 01
    UraniumNarrative Forming5/5 FiltersActive Deficit

    “All 5 structural filters pass; Kazatomprom/Cameco production discipline creating near-term tightness; term contracting replacing legacy $35/lb deals at $85-90/lb; SMR approvals accelerating; narrative forming but far from 2007 retail saturation”

    05108.65/10
    S 9 · D 9
  2. 02
    CopperNarrative Emerging4/5 FiltersDeficit 2026+

    “IEA structural deficit warning (25% by 2035); AI data centers add 475k tonnes new demand 2026; 29-year greenfield timelines vs immediate demand; grade decline + capex starvation = perfect storm”

    05108.45/10
    S 9 · D 9
  3. 03
    SilverNarrative Empty3/5 Filters6th Year Deficit

    “Market misreading solar thrifting as bearish when deficit widened 40.3→46.3 Moz; investment demand +20%; supply response impossible (70% by-product); gold/silver ratio 83 = extreme”

    05107.6/10
    S 8 · D 8
  4. 04
    TinNarrative EmptyMyanmar RiskSemiconductor Recovery

    “Myanmar accounts for 15% of global supply under political pressure; Indonesia reserves depleting; no new mines since 2010; semiconductor recovery underway; zero retail positioning = asymmetric”

    05107.35/10
    S 9 · D 7
  5. 05
    PlatinumNarrative Empty3/5 FiltersSouth Africa Risk

    “South Africa 75% of supply with deepening mine closures; palladium substitution in autocatalysts accelerating on price inversion; hydrogen economy embryonic but high optionality; sentiment at 2015 lows”

    05107.15/10
    S 8 · D 7
ASX exposure
BOE.ASXASX Producer

“Boss Energy — Honeymoon mine restarted Apr 2023, nameplate 2.45 Mlbs/yr U3O8; cash cost ~$30/lb; levered to term repricing”

PDN.ASXASX Producer

“Paladin Energy — Langer Heinrich (Namibia) restarted, 5.2 Mlbs/yr nameplate; higher beta to spot moves, operational leverage”

DYL.ASXASX Developer

“Deep Yellow — Tumas project (Namibia) in financing stage; 3.7 Mlbs/yr target; pre-production torque to uranium price + equity dilution risk”

Futures (UX (CME)) and ETP (URNM (US-listed, accessible via ASX brokers)) routes are listed on the same setup.

Best setup AI
UraniumBOE8.65
5/5 filtersForming
Deficit timing: “2026 active structural deficit”

“Boss Energy (ASX: BOE) — Australian uranium producer with leverage to term contract repricing cycle”

“Spot uranium trading $95/lb (UxC), term contracts at $85/lb as of Sept 2026. Utility contracting in 2024-2026 cohort replacing legacy contracts signed at $35-50/lb (pre-Fukushima era expiring).…”

Primary risk

“Spot uranium market is thin (15-20% of physical transactions) and sentiment-driven in the short run.…”

Live module · data captured 11 Sep 2026 · snapshots.commodities
Gold vs M2
Gold priced against US M2 money supply
LIVE
+82.1%
Gold vs M2-implied fair value
4,5003,0001,5000Gold $4,049M2-implied fair $2,223+82.1%US$/oz · Jul 2026 levels
Gold spot$4,049
M2-implied fair value$2,223
Gold/M2 ratio0.174 (96th percentile)
Data monthJul 2026
Live module · data captured 11 Sep 2026 · snapshots.gold_m2
08

The rest of the desk

Everything else the desk carries, at a glance: seasonal history, ten Australian money tools and the morning AI read.

SeasonalityCURATEDHow each market tends to move through the year
6markets charted
22GICS sector histories
98ydeepest history (S&P 500, 1928)
S&P 500 average calendar-year path1928-2025
0%2%4%6%8%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
S&P 500ASX 200GoldWTI OilIron oreAUD/USD

ASX and US sectors side by side. Each chart renders full history or the last 10 years.

August tendency

2 ASX sectors historically firm in August

A-REITs +2.24% avg · up 76% of 21 yrsIndustrials +1.51% avg · up 76% of 21 yrs
Live module · data captured 11 Sep 2026 · Yahoo Finance (static JSON through 2025, regenerated annually)
My MoneyCURATEDAustralian-investor calculator library
  • Capital Gains Tax
  • Franking Credits
  • Position Sizing
  • Watchlist
  • My Stocks
  • My Properties
  • Rental Yield
  • Negative Gearing
  • Stamp Duty
  • Super Fund Comparison

Ten tools for the Australian side of your money. Calculators and trackers saved locally in your browser.

Live module · data captured 11 Sep 2026 · product registry
ResearchAIAXIOM Research Terminal
Today's readAI11 Sep 2026
“Oil above $100, curve steep, credit calm — late-cycle energy bid meets stable macro backdrop.”

One grounded sentence over the desk's live feeds, rewritten every morning.

Value-chain research

Type any theme and the Research Terminal maps its full value chain, layer by layer, to the constraint that matters.

Live module · data captured 11 Sep 2026 · AI synthesis over the desk's live feeds

One price. No tiers, no lock-in.

Subscriber plan
A$35per month (AUD)

One subscription. The entire dashboard: morning macro brief, every section, every calculator, and the AI Research Terminal.

One desk for property, crypto, stocks and ETFs.

  • Morning macro brief, refreshed nightly
  • Housing cycle, rotation, valuation and recession risk
  • News and signal, positioning, commodities
  • Crypto dashboard and sentiment scanner, no LLM in the loop
  • AU calculator toolkit: CGT, franking, gearing, super
  • AI Research Terminal: 5 live searches per week
  • Live market tapes updated through the day
Get access

Secure checkout via Stripe: card details are entered on Stripe's hosted page and never touch the Macro Command Centre server. Renews monthly; cancel anytime from the Billing page, no email or phone call needed. Access continues to the end of the paid period; no partial-period refunds. All prices in AUD; a receipt is emailed after each payment.

General information only, not personal financial advice or a recommendation to buy, hold or sell.

If a feed is three days old, the badge says so.Freshness is measured against each feed's expected cadence, not asserted.
If a number is an AI estimate, it is labelled in words.An amber chip that says so, never just a colour you might miss.
If a table is curated rather than live, the chip says curated.Styled-to-look-live isn't allowed to masquerade as a feed.
If a fallback is used, it is a real, dated figure.The code comment reads: "The fallback is NEVER fabricated."
If freshness can't be measured, the panel prints “—”.No dot, no guess, no implied confidence.
Data with receipts.
You do the thinking.